Saturday, January 05, 2008
The results are in in Iowa.
With all the resources she poured into Iowa, it's a HUGE loss for Hitlery, and just as huge a win for Barack the Schlock. Make no mistake about it, Democrats there went for the newcomer, and BIG.
On our side, Fred Thompson was the clear winner of the three conservatives in the race, and if this caucus meant anything to Duncan Hunter, he's done.
I also don't see this as a huge win for Mike Huckabee, as he has a following in Iowa that simply cannot be discounted. Congratulations to him on the victory, but he's not looking at doing as well elsewhere. Romney was as big a loser as Hitlery, thank God. Mitt was counting on Iowa, and will now have to rethink his strategy.
So, the biggest winner of the day was obviously Barack Obama. Hard to say whether the bigger loser is Hitlery or Mitt, as they both had put a lot into this one, and were both counting on easy wins. Hell, even The Breck Girl edged that witch out by a few tenths of a point!
As a note here, most analyses of Huckabee will show that he generally believes in conservative principles, but he also advocates using the government as an engine for applying them, even where the Constitution doesn't allow it. This is the reason I have not been including Huck in the "conservative" camp. Abortion is the perfect example. Huck and real conservatives like myself (yes I know every conservative considers his own brand of conservatism as the only "real" brand of conservatism, but at least those of my stripe have the Constitution to stand with) both agree that abortion is the termination of a human life that should have been protected, and I applaud his work in getting a human life amendment passed in Arkansas. While I do support a federal amendment of that nature, I do not support any language contained therein making abortion a federal crime. After all, murder isn't a federal crime, so why should abortion be? Let the states have that jurisdiction (which can easily be included in any human life amendment, by the way). Huckabee has explicitly stated that the states shouldn't have this power, even though the Constitution doesn't offer it to the fed - one size fits all, the typical liberal way of doing things. The overall analysis of Huck's lack of conservative application of his conservative beliefs is material for another post.
Here's something Sage will love to hear: Ron Paul beat Rudy 10.1% to 3.5%. I'm liking this too, except for one little detail: Rudy didn't bother campaigning in Iowa, so who could have expected him to perform there? This makes it hard to gauge how successful he may have been, as he obviously didn't care much how he did there - and I have NO information on what the Paul campaign was up to in Iowa.
As for the Thompson campaign, we did do a lot of work in Iowa, and were expecting somewhere between 10 and 15% of the vote. With that accomplished, we can move on to New Hampshire understanding that we have reached our goal so far. This caucus pretty much shows that Fred is the best-chanced conservative in the race.
In the meantime, it's on to New Hampshire. Congrats to Mike and Barack. Go Fred!